Criminal Case Law Counts Are Significantly Down in 2010 and 2011 – But Why?
Generally speaking as the economy turns south, crime goes way up. Well, usually that is true of course, but right now the criminal courts are not packed with criminals and their criminal lawyers trying to get them off the hook. Oh, sure there are some cases, there will always be crime, after all we don’t live in the future with all the special crime fighting units we say in Minority Report, but remarkably crime has gone down, not up with the recession. Why you ask?
Well, that’s just it, no one knows, or maybe someone does, but they are not saying. Let’s discuss all this shall we? There was an interesting article recently in the New York Times titled; “Steady Decline in Major Crime Baffles Experts” by Richard A. Oppel, Jr. and also contributing to that piece was Joseph Goldstein (published on May 23, 2011). The article stated;
“The number of violent crimes in the United States dropped significantly last year, to what appeared to be the lowest rate in nearly 40 years, a development that was considered puzzling partly because it ran counter to the prevailing expectation that crime would increase during a recession.”
Now, not all areas or all cities experienced reduced crime and criminal cases, but most all did. We asked out think thank why this was, and I started with some theories of my own such as;
1. More Personal Tech Devices with Digital Cameras
2. All the Detective Shows on TV with CSI style investigations
3. Solar Minimum with less agitating solar flares and increased frequency
4. Crimes of Rage committed mostly by Youth who cannot control temper – changing demographics
Okay so, let’s look at all these things, why gives, and why are criminal lawyers getting less work these days, and why have the crimes gone down so drastically? First, if more folks are running around with digital cameras, that means the chances of a criminal getting caught go way up, and so the smarter criminals skip their crimes, and the dumb ones are getting caught, and pulled off the streets.
Second, with all the detective shows on TV there is a bigger perception that if you commit a crime, you’ll get caught, and that perception prevents more violent type crimes. Third, some have speculated that solar flares during solar maximums make people crazy, or that Global Warming is causing more cloud cover and the full-moon is less visible, thus, less full-moon crimes. Personally, I think that’s a crazy notion and anyone purporting such is full of it.
The changing demographics of an older average population would make sense, and those statistical charts do seem to correspond with lower crime rates, or maybe it’s just a combination of things. But it’s definitely something to keep in mind if you are a criminal lawyer looking for work. Please consider all this and think on it.